Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#101
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#99
Pace63.4#269
Improvement+0.2#158

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#93
Improvement-2.5#284

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#127
Improvement+2.7#54
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 177   @ Fresno St. L 47-55 58%     0 - 1 -5.3 -20.2 +14.3
  Nov 17, 2011 307   SIU Edwardsville W 68-38 94%     1 - 1 +16.7 -13.0 +29.1
  Nov 19, 2011 216   Lipscomb W 78-70 85%     2 - 1 +1.6 +1.3 +0.2
  Nov 22, 2011 117   Rutgers W 76-70 55%     3 - 1 +9.5 +6.7 +2.8
  Nov 23, 2011 77   Illinois L 59-63 43%     3 - 2 +2.6 +4.3 -2.6
  Nov 27, 2011 257   Bethune-Cookman W 75-51 90%     4 - 2 +14.9 +19.9 +2.9
  Nov 30, 2011 332   Chicago St. W 85-41 97%     5 - 2 +26.2 +7.6 +19.3
  Dec 03, 2011 236   UNC Wilmington L 54-63 88%     5 - 3 -16.8 -17.5 -0.3
  Dec 07, 2011 203   @ Morehead St. W 78-73 63%     6 - 3 +6.4 +16.0 -9.0
  Dec 18, 2011 196   Norfolk St. W 68-36 83%     7 - 3 +26.7 -6.6 +33.3
  Dec 20, 2011 183   Arkansas Little Rock W 72-65 81%     8 - 3 +2.5 +3.6 -0.6
  Dec 29, 2011 89   Northern Iowa W 65-61 60%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +6.1 -1.6 +8.0
  Jan 01, 2012 217   @ Southern Illinois L 71-86 66%     9 - 4 1 - 1 -14.6 +2.8 -18.3
  Jan 04, 2012 97   @ Missouri St. W 68-60 36%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +16.4 +2.2 +14.4
  Jan 07, 2012 113   Evansville W 75-73 66%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +2.4 +7.4 -4.7
  Jan 10, 2012 9   @ Wichita St. L 62-65 10%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +15.5 +4.5 +10.7
  Jan 13, 2012 28   Creighton L 78-87 38%     11 - 6 3 - 3 -1.2 +1.9 -3.0
  Jan 15, 2012 130   @ Drake L 60-77 45%     11 - 7 3 - 4 -11.1 -1.9 -10.8
  Jan 18, 2012 132   Indiana St. W 67-54 71%     12 - 7 4 - 4 +12.0 +0.1 +12.8
  Jan 21, 2012 113   @ Evansville L 71-79 40%     12 - 8 4 - 5 -0.8 +3.1 -4.3
  Jan 25, 2012 97   Missouri St. W 76-69 OT 62%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +8.6 +5.2 +3.4
  Jan 28, 2012 217   Southern Illinois W 60-40 85%     14 - 8 6 - 5 +13.6 -7.1 +23.5
  Feb 01, 2012 28   @ Creighton L 74-102 18%     14 - 9 6 - 6 -13.4 +1.8 -15.1
  Feb 04, 2012 256   Bradley W 78-48 90%     15 - 9 7 - 6 +21.0 +4.4 +17.1
  Feb 08, 2012 130   Drake W 64-53 71%     16 - 9 8 - 6 +10.1 -1.1 +12.3
  Feb 11, 2012 89   @ Northern Iowa L 63-78 34%     16 - 10 8 - 7 -6.1 -2.5 -4.2
  Feb 14, 2012 132   @ Indiana St. L 77-83 OT 46%     16 - 11 8 - 8 -0.2 +6.7 -6.7
  Feb 18, 2012 153   Oakland W 79-75 75%     17 - 11 +1.8 +0.8 +1.1
  Feb 22, 2012 9   Wichita St. L 55-68 25%     17 - 12 8 - 9 -1.3 -10.1 +7.9
  Feb 25, 2012 256   @ Bradley W 54-53 75%     18 - 12 9 - 9 -1.2 -13.0 +11.9
  Mar 02, 2012 89   Northern Iowa W 54-42 47%     19 - 12 +17.5 -10.1 +28.8
  Mar 03, 2012 9   Wichita St. W 65-64 17%     20 - 12 +16.1 -0.3 +16.5
  Mar 04, 2012 28   Creighton L 79-83 OT 27%     20 - 13 +7.2 +5.2 +2.0
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%